Recent static fire test failure on May 28, 2026, at Cape Canaveral Launch Complex 36 destroyed New Glenn’s third booster and inflicted major damage to the sole active pad, with repairs projected to exceed one year. This infrastructure setback follows earlier 2025–2026 flights and has shifted all subsequent missions to TBD status, outweighing prior schedule optimism for 2026 operations. Trader consensus at 63% for no launch this year reflects the extended downtime required for facility reconstruction alongside ongoing vehicle integration and range coordination challenges. Official updates from Blue Origin and range authorities will provide the next key data points on recovery timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.Recent static fire test failure on May 28, 2026, at Cape Canaveral Launch Complex 36 destroyed New Glenn’s third booster and inflicted major damage to the sole active pad, with repairs projected to exceed one year. This infrastructure setback follows earlier 2025–2026 flights and has shifted all subsequent missions to TBD status, outweighing prior schedule optimism for 2026 operations. Trader consensus at 63% for no launch this year reflects the extended downtime required for facility reconstruction alongside ongoing vehicle integration and range coordination challenges. Official updates from Blue Origin and range authorities will provide the next key data points on recovery timelines.
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
交易量
$17结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.Recent static fire test failure on May 28, 2026, at Cape Canaveral Launch Complex 36 destroyed New Glenn’s third booster and inflicted major damage to the sole active pad, with repairs projected to exceed one year. This infrastructure setback follows earlier 2025–2026 flights and has shifted all subsequent missions to TBD status, outweighing prior schedule optimism for 2026 operations. Trader consensus at 63% for no launch this year reflects the extended downtime required for facility reconstruction alongside ongoing vehicle integration and range coordination challenges. Official updates from Blue Origin and range authorities will provide the next key data points on recovery timelines.
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
交易量
$17结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent static fire test failure on May 28, 2026, at Cape Canaveral Launch Complex 36 destroyed New Glenn’s third booster and inflicted major damage to the sole active pad, with repairs projected to exceed one year. This infrastructure setback follows earlier 2025–2026 flights and has shifted all subsequent missions to TBD status, outweighing prior schedule optimism for 2026 operations. Trader consensus at 63% for no launch this year reflects the extended downtime required for facility reconstruction alongside ongoing vehicle integration and range coordination challenges. Official updates from Blue Origin and range authorities will provide the next key data points on recovery timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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