Recent readings show Brazil’s IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year in April 2026, above the 3.00% central-bank target, amid upward pressure from food, housing, and transport costs. Middle East energy shocks have prompted upward revisions to 2026 forecasts, with economist surveys clustering near 4.0–4.5% after recent trims. Persistent above-target readings and restrictive monetary policy keep the path to convergence uncertain, while fiscal measures and exchange-rate dynamics add volatility. With Polymarket probabilities tightly distributed across the 5.00–6.99% ranges, trader consensus reflects the narrow gap between current momentum and the scale of disinflation still required before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5.00-5.49% 33.8%
5.50-5.99% 29.9%
6.00-6.49% 24.8%
4.50-4.99% 15.1%
$63,385 交易量
$63,385 交易量
2027-01-12
低于3.00%
1%
3.00-3.49%
1%
3.50-3.99%
6%
4.00-4.49%
4%
4.50-4.99%
18%
5.00-5.49%
34%
5.50-5.99%
24%
6.00-6.49%
25%
6.50-6.99%
24%
7.00%及以上
5%
5.00-5.49% 33.8%
5.50-5.99% 29.9%
6.00-6.49% 24.8%
4.50-4.99% 15.1%
$63,385 交易量
$63,385 交易量
2027-01-12
低于3.00%
$4,625 交易量
1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,398 交易量
1%
3.50-3.99%
$11,679 交易量
6%
4.00-4.49%
$8,584 交易量
4%
4.50-4.99%
$8,096 交易量
18%
5.00-5.49%
$6,223 交易量
34%
5.50-5.99%
$5,889 交易量
24%
6.00-6.49%
$5,005 交易量
25%
6.50-6.99%
$5,202 交易量
24%
7.00%及以上
$3,682 交易量
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent readings show Brazil’s IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year in April 2026, above the 3.00% central-bank target, amid upward pressure from food, housing, and transport costs. Middle East energy shocks have prompted upward revisions to 2026 forecasts, with economist surveys clustering near 4.0–4.5% after recent trims. Persistent above-target readings and restrictive monetary policy keep the path to convergence uncertain, while fiscal measures and exchange-rate dynamics add volatility. With Polymarket probabilities tightly distributed across the 5.00–6.99% ranges, trader consensus reflects the narrow gap between current momentum and the scale of disinflation still required before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
市场开放时间： Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
交易量
$63,385结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent readings show Brazil’s IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year in April 2026, above the 3.00% central-bank target, amid upward pressure from food, housing, and transport costs. Middle East energy shocks have prompted upward revisions to 2026 forecasts, with economist surveys clustering near 4.0–4.5% after recent trims. Persistent above-target readings and restrictive monetary policy keep the path to convergence uncertain, while fiscal measures and exchange-rate dynamics add volatility. With Polymarket probabilities tightly distributed across the 5.00–6.99% ranges, trader consensus reflects the narrow gap between current momentum and the scale of disinflation still required before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
交易量
$63,385结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent readings show Brazil’s IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year in April 2026, above the 3.00% central-bank target, amid upward pressure from food, housing, and transport costs. Middle East energy shocks have prompted upward revisions to 2026 forecasts, with economist surveys clustering near 4.0–4.5% after recent trims. Persistent above-target readings and restrictive monetary policy keep the path to convergence uncertain, while fiscal measures and exchange-rate dynamics add volatility. With Polymarket probabilities tightly distributed across the 5.00–6.99% ranges, trader consensus reflects the narrow gap between current momentum and the scale of disinflation still required before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题