Recent polling shows Democrat Xavier Becerra holding a modest lead in California’s June 2 top-two primary, with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range while the field remains fragmented among multiple Democrats and two Republicans. Steve Hilton leads Republican voters after consolidating support, including from a Trump endorsement, and competes closely with Tom Steyer for the second spot that advances alongside Becerra. Late shifts have narrowed the gap between frontrunners and trailing candidates, producing expectations of a competitive outcome where the primary winner’s margin stays under five points. Trader positioning aligns with these trends and the structural dynamics of vote splitting in the state’s nonpartisan primary system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于加州州长初选：胜利边际？
加州州长初选：胜利边际？
贝塞拉 <5% 54%
贝塞拉 5–10% 25%
希尔顿获胜 12%
贝塞拉10%+ 7.2%
$12,302 交易量
$12,302 交易量
2026-06-02
贝塞拉10%+
7%
贝塞拉 5–10%
25%
贝塞拉 <5%
54%
斯泰尔超过5%
<1%
斯泰尔 <5%
2%
希尔顿获胜
12%
比安科获胜
1%
贝塞拉 <5% 54%
贝塞拉 5–10% 25%
希尔顿获胜 12%
贝塞拉10%+ 7.2%
$12,302 交易量
$12,302 交易量
2026-06-02
贝塞拉10%+
$4,741 交易量
7%
贝塞拉 5–10%
$2,016 交易量
25%
贝塞拉 <5%
$1,737 交易量
54%
斯泰尔超过5%
$328 交易量
<1%
斯泰尔 <5%
$1,059 交易量
2%
希尔顿获胜
$2,183 交易量
12%
比安科获胜
$238 交易量
1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling shows Democrat Xavier Becerra holding a modest lead in California’s June 2 top-two primary, with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range while the field remains fragmented among multiple Democrats and two Republicans. Steve Hilton leads Republican voters after consolidating support, including from a Trump endorsement, and competes closely with Tom Steyer for the second spot that advances alongside Becerra. Late shifts have narrowed the gap between frontrunners and trailing candidates, producing expectations of a competitive outcome where the primary winner’s margin stays under five points. Trader positioning aligns with these trends and the structural dynamics of vote splitting in the state’s nonpartisan primary system.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$12,302结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling shows Democrat Xavier Becerra holding a modest lead in California’s June 2 top-two primary, with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range while the field remains fragmented among multiple Democrats and two Republicans. Steve Hilton leads Republican voters after consolidating support, including from a Trump endorsement, and competes closely with Tom Steyer for the second spot that advances alongside Becerra. Late shifts have narrowed the gap between frontrunners and trailing candidates, producing expectations of a competitive outcome where the primary winner’s margin stays under five points. Trader positioning aligns with these trends and the structural dynamics of vote splitting in the state’s nonpartisan primary system.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$12,302结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Democrat Xavier Becerra holding a modest lead in California’s June 2 top-two primary, with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range while the field remains fragmented among multiple Democrats and two Republicans. Steve Hilton leads Republican voters after consolidating support, including from a Trump endorsement, and competes closely with Tom Steyer for the second spot that advances alongside Becerra. Late shifts have narrowed the gap between frontrunners and trailing candidates, producing expectations of a competitive outcome where the primary winner’s margin stays under five points. Trader positioning aligns with these trends and the structural dynamics of vote splitting in the state’s nonpartisan primary system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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