Patrick Mahomes remains the clear frontrunner to start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026 after the team restructured his contract in February to slash his cap hit from $78.2 million to $34.65 million and create over $43 million in space. That move, combined with his stated intent to return from a season-ending ACL injury, underpins the 59.5% implied probability. Veteran depth options like Joe Flacco and Justin Fields—acquired or retained for backup roles—account for the elevated shares on those names, reflecting market expectations that any setback in Mahomes’ rehab could force an interim starter. Chris Oladokun and Gardner Minshew sit further back as longer-shot depth pieces in the current quarterback room.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于帕特里克·马霍姆斯 57%
克里斯·奥拉多昆 5.0%
加德纳·明休 1.2%
乔·弗拉科 0
$12,459 交易量
$12,459 交易量
帕特里克·马霍姆斯
57%
克里斯·奥拉多昆
25%
加德纳·明休
10%
乔·弗拉科
46%
贾斯汀·菲尔兹
-
帕特里克·马霍姆斯 57%
克里斯·奥拉多昆 5.0%
加德纳·明休 1.2%
乔·弗拉科 0
$12,459 交易量
$12,459 交易量
帕特里克·马霍姆斯
57%
克里斯·奥拉多昆
25%
加德纳·明休
10%
乔·弗拉科
46%
贾斯汀·菲尔兹
-
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes remains the clear frontrunner to start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026 after the team restructured his contract in February to slash his cap hit from $78.2 million to $34.65 million and create over $43 million in space. That move, combined with his stated intent to return from a season-ending ACL injury, underpins the 59.5% implied probability. Veteran depth options like Joe Flacco and Justin Fields—acquired or retained for backup roles—account for the elevated shares on those names, reflecting market expectations that any setback in Mahomes’ rehab could force an interim starter. Chris Oladokun and Gardner Minshew sit further back as longer-shot depth pieces in the current quarterback room.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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