Sean "Diddy" Combs' 50-month federal sentence, handed down in October 2025 after his July conviction on two transportation-for-prostitution counts, anchors the 76.6% market-implied probability against release in 2026. The hip-hop mogul has been serving time at low-security FCI Fort Dix since late 2025, with minor good-behavior and RDAP program credits shifting his projected Bureau of Prisons date only to April 2028. His April 2026 appeal hearing produced no reversal, bail grant, or sentence reduction that would alter the timeline. Traders weigh the slow pace of federal appeals and strict supervised-release conditions against any unexpected early-exit developments, reflecting the extended custodial period confirmed by recent records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Diddy在2026年被释放？
Diddy在2026年被释放？
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sean "Diddy" Combs' 50-month federal sentence, handed down in October 2025 after his July conviction on two transportation-for-prostitution counts, anchors the 76.6% market-implied probability against release in 2026. The hip-hop mogul has been serving time at low-security FCI Fort Dix since late 2025, with minor good-behavior and RDAP program credits shifting his projected Bureau of Prisons date only to April 2028. His April 2026 appeal hearing produced no reversal, bail grant, or sentence reduction that would alter the timeline. Traders weigh the slow pace of federal appeals and strict supervised-release conditions against any unexpected early-exit developments, reflecting the extended custodial period confirmed by recent records.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
交易量
$1,991结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sean "Diddy" Combs' 50-month federal sentence, handed down in October 2025 after his July conviction on two transportation-for-prostitution counts, anchors the 76.6% market-implied probability against release in 2026. The hip-hop mogul has been serving time at low-security FCI Fort Dix since late 2025, with minor good-behavior and RDAP program credits shifting his projected Bureau of Prisons date only to April 2028. His April 2026 appeal hearing produced no reversal, bail grant, or sentence reduction that would alter the timeline. Traders weigh the slow pace of federal appeals and strict supervised-release conditions against any unexpected early-exit developments, reflecting the extended custodial period confirmed by recent records.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,991结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sean "Diddy" Combs' 50-month federal sentence, handed down in October 2025 after his July conviction on two transportation-for-prostitution counts, anchors the 76.6% market-implied probability against release in 2026. The hip-hop mogul has been serving time at low-security FCI Fort Dix since late 2025, with minor good-behavior and RDAP program credits shifting his projected Bureau of Prisons date only to April 2028. His April 2026 appeal hearing produced no reversal, bail grant, or sentence reduction that would alter the timeline. Traders weigh the slow pace of federal appeals and strict supervised-release conditions against any unexpected early-exit developments, reflecting the extended custodial period confirmed by recent records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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