French politics has seen an unusually early and crowded field of potential 2027 presidential contenders, with multiple announcements already shaping trader views on 2026 declarations. Jean-Luc Mélenchon formally confirmed his fourth bid in early May 2026 during a TF1 interview, while Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe have also declared candidacies; left-wing parties including Socialists, Greens, and ex-LFI figures have agreed to a unitary primary process to select one nominee. Marine Le Pen’s pending July 2026 appeal on her embezzlement conviction and public-office ban continues to influence far-right positioning, with Jordan Bardella viewed as the likely National Rally alternative if needed. These developments, alongside record numbers of declared or presumed candidates across the spectrum and Macron’s term limit, provide the main catalysts for market assessments of who will publicly enter the race before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,563 交易量
Éric Zemmour
56%
Jordan Bardella
69%
Michel Barnier
13%
Valérie Pécresse
12%
Élisabeth Borne
16%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
12%
Jean Castex
22%
Gérald Darmanin
17%
Sébastien Lecornu
17%
François Bayrou
11%
Bernard Cazeneuve
32%
Carole Delga
17%
Olivier Faure
6%
François Hollande
59%
Raphaël Glucksmann
67%
Manuel Bompard
6%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
99%
Mathilde Panot
7%
Dominique de Villepin
75%
Marine Le Pen
39%
$12,563 交易量
Éric Zemmour
56%
Jordan Bardella
69%
Michel Barnier
13%
Valérie Pécresse
12%
Élisabeth Borne
16%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
12%
Jean Castex
22%
Gérald Darmanin
17%
Sébastien Lecornu
17%
François Bayrou
11%
Bernard Cazeneuve
32%
Carole Delga
17%
Olivier Faure
6%
François Hollande
59%
Raphaël Glucksmann
67%
Manuel Bompard
6%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
99%
Mathilde Panot
7%
Dominique de Villepin
75%
Marine Le Pen
39%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...French politics has seen an unusually early and crowded field of potential 2027 presidential contenders, with multiple announcements already shaping trader views on 2026 declarations. Jean-Luc Mélenchon formally confirmed his fourth bid in early May 2026 during a TF1 interview, while Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe have also declared candidacies; left-wing parties including Socialists, Greens, and ex-LFI figures have agreed to a unitary primary process to select one nominee. Marine Le Pen’s pending July 2026 appeal on her embezzlement conviction and public-office ban continues to influence far-right positioning, with Jordan Bardella viewed as the likely National Rally alternative if needed. These developments, alongside record numbers of declared or presumed candidates across the spectrum and Macron’s term limit, provide the main catalysts for market assessments of who will publicly enter the race before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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