The market's near-certain 98.7% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30 stems from the containment of the 2026 Andes virus cluster to just 13 cases, including three deaths, all linked to passengers or crew on the MV Hondius cruise ship since early May. Official reports from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC confirm the virus remains restricted to this ship-based exposure with limited person-to-person spread, no sustained community transmission, and very low risk to the general public despite contact monitoring in multiple countries. While the virus's incubation period of up to several weeks could allow isolated additional cases through June, current surveillance data and epidemiological patterns show no trajectory toward a broader outbreak meeting typical public health thresholds for declaration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日前爆发汉坦病毒？
6月30日前爆发汉坦病毒？
是
$61,308 交易量
$61,308 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$61,308 交易量
$61,308 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market's near-certain 98.7% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30 stems from the containment of the 2026 Andes virus cluster to just 13 cases, including three deaths, all linked to passengers or crew on the MV Hondius cruise ship since early May. Official reports from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC confirm the virus remains restricted to this ship-based exposure with limited person-to-person spread, no sustained community transmission, and very low risk to the general public despite contact monitoring in multiple countries. While the virus's incubation period of up to several weeks could allow isolated additional cases through June, current surveillance data and epidemiological patterns show no trajectory toward a broader outbreak meeting typical public health thresholds for declaration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$61,308结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market's near-certain 98.7% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30 stems from the containment of the 2026 Andes virus cluster to just 13 cases, including three deaths, all linked to passengers or crew on the MV Hondius cruise ship since early May. Official reports from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC confirm the virus remains restricted to this ship-based exposure with limited person-to-person spread, no sustained community transmission, and very low risk to the general public despite contact monitoring in multiple countries. While the virus's incubation period of up to several weeks could allow isolated additional cases through June, current surveillance data and epidemiological patterns show no trajectory toward a broader outbreak meeting typical public health thresholds for declaration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$61,319结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market's near-certain 98.7% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30 stems from the containment of the 2026 Andes virus cluster to just 13 cases, including three deaths, all linked to passengers or crew on the MV Hondius cruise ship since early May. Official reports from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC confirm the virus remains restricted to this ship-based exposure with limited person-to-person spread, no sustained community transmission, and very low risk to the general public despite contact monitoring in multiple countries. While the virus's incubation period of up to several weeks could allow isolated additional cases through June, current surveillance data and epidemiological patterns show no trajectory toward a broader outbreak meeting typical public health thresholds for declaration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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