The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at a record-low 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, extending a twelve-month streak of no change that aligns with its stated commitment to a moderately loose monetary stance. This continuity, reinforced by the central bank's emphasis on policy coordination and currency stability amid external uncertainties, underpins trader expectations for another hold in the June Loan Prime Rate decision. Weakening domestic indicators such as slower industrial output and softer retail sales sustain a 30 percent probability of easing, while resilient early-2026 growth and limited inflation pressure reduce the scope for aggressive cuts or any tightening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于不变 79%
降息 30%
加息 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
加息
9%
不变
71%
降息
30%
不变 79%
降息 30%
加息 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
加息
$0 交易量
9%
不变
$30 交易量
71%
降息
$3 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at a record-low 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, extending a twelve-month streak of no change that aligns with its stated commitment to a moderately loose monetary stance. This continuity, reinforced by the central bank's emphasis on policy coordination and currency stability amid external uncertainties, underpins trader expectations for another hold in the June Loan Prime Rate decision. Weakening domestic indicators such as slower industrial output and softer retail sales sustain a 30 percent probability of easing, while resilient early-2026 growth and limited inflation pressure reduce the scope for aggressive cuts or any tightening.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$33结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at a record-low 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, extending a twelve-month streak of no change that aligns with its stated commitment to a moderately loose monetary stance. This continuity, reinforced by the central bank's emphasis on policy coordination and currency stability amid external uncertainties, underpins trader expectations for another hold in the June Loan Prime Rate decision. Weakening domestic indicators such as slower industrial output and softer retail sales sustain a 30 percent probability of easing, while resilient early-2026 growth and limited inflation pressure reduce the scope for aggressive cuts or any tightening.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$33结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at a record-low 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, extending a twelve-month streak of no change that aligns with its stated commitment to a moderately loose monetary stance. This continuity, reinforced by the central bank's emphasis on policy coordination and currency stability amid external uncertainties, underpins trader expectations for another hold in the June Loan Prime Rate decision. Weakening domestic indicators such as slower industrial output and softer retail sales sustain a 30 percent probability of easing, while resilient early-2026 growth and limited inflation pressure reduce the scope for aggressive cuts or any tightening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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