The People's Bank of China has held its benchmark one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, marking a 12th consecutive month of no change amid ongoing weak industrial output and retail sales data. This pattern, combined with the central bank's January signals of a moderately loose stance and use of reserve requirement ratio adjustments plus targeted lending tools rather than broad rate shifts, underpins trader consensus around no change in June. Weakening growth indicators keep a modest probability priced in for a cut, while the recent streak and cautious approach limit odds of an increase. The June Loan Prime Rate announcement, expected around mid-month, will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于不变 70%
降息 30%
加息 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
加息
9%
不变
66%
降息
30%
不变 70%
降息 30%
加息 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
加息
$0 交易量
9%
不变
$64 交易量
66%
降息
$3 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has held its benchmark one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, marking a 12th consecutive month of no change amid ongoing weak industrial output and retail sales data. This pattern, combined with the central bank's January signals of a moderately loose stance and use of reserve requirement ratio adjustments plus targeted lending tools rather than broad rate shifts, underpins trader consensus around no change in June. Weakening growth indicators keep a modest probability priced in for a cut, while the recent streak and cautious approach limit odds of an increase. The June Loan Prime Rate announcement, expected around mid-month, will determine resolution.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$51结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has held its benchmark one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, marking a 12th consecutive month of no change amid ongoing weak industrial output and retail sales data. This pattern, combined with the central bank's January signals of a moderately loose stance and use of reserve requirement ratio adjustments plus targeted lending tools rather than broad rate shifts, underpins trader consensus around no change in June. Weakening growth indicators keep a modest probability priced in for a cut, while the recent streak and cautious approach limit odds of an increase. The June Loan Prime Rate announcement, expected around mid-month, will determine resolution.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$51结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has held its benchmark one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent through May 2026, marking a 12th consecutive month of no change amid ongoing weak industrial output and retail sales data. This pattern, combined with the central bank's January signals of a moderately loose stance and use of reserve requirement ratio adjustments plus targeted lending tools rather than broad rate shifts, underpins trader consensus around no change in June. Weakening growth indicators keep a modest probability priced in for a cut, while the recent streak and cautious approach limit odds of an increase. The June Loan Prime Rate announcement, expected around mid-month, will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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