Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, with a runoff scheduled for October 25 if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, leads the right-wing challenge under the Liberal Party banner. Recent national polls place Lula in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent and Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, positioning the pair as the frontrunners most likely to advance. Other declared or potential contenders, including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register lower single-digit support. Candidate registration closes August 15, and party conventions are imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$366,945 交易量
2026-10-04
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
76%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
63%
费尔南多·阿达
17%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
5%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
4%
雅伊尔·博索纳罗
3%
$366,945 交易量
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$161,229 交易量
76%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$34,458 交易量
63%
费尔南多·阿达
$54,265 交易量
17%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$27,053 交易量
5%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$77,318 交易量
4%
雅伊尔·博索纳罗
$12,622 交易量
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, with a runoff scheduled for October 25 if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, leads the right-wing challenge under the Liberal Party banner. Recent national polls place Lula in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent and Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, positioning the pair as the frontrunners most likely to advance. Other declared or potential contenders, including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register lower single-digit support. Candidate registration closes August 15, and party conventions are imminent.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$366,945结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, with a runoff scheduled for October 25 if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, leads the right-wing challenge under the Liberal Party banner. Recent national polls place Lula in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent and Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, positioning the pair as the frontrunners most likely to advance. Other declared or potential contenders, including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register lower single-digit support. Candidate registration closes August 15, and party conventions are imminent.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$366,945结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, with a runoff scheduled for October 25 if no candidate secures a first-round majority. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, endorsed by his ineligible father Jair Bolsonaro, leads the right-wing challenge under the Liberal Party banner. Recent national polls place Lula in the low-to-mid 30s to low 40s percent and Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, positioning the pair as the frontrunners most likely to advance. Other declared or potential contenders, including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, register lower single-digit support. Candidate registration closes August 15, and party conventions are imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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