Europe maintains a dominant 70.5% implied probability in the market due to its unmatched depth of competitive national teams, including multiple recent finalists and consistent performers in major tournaments. South America's 22.5% position stems from the proven quality of sides like Argentina and Brazil, which have delivered the continent's historical successes. Markets assign minimal probabilities to Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania because no team from those continents has ever lifted the trophy, and current form plus qualification results show limited pathways against established powers. Recent results in international windows and confederation play have reinforced this hierarchy without shifting the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧洲 71%
南美洲 23%
非洲 3.4%
亚洲 2.8%
$2,765,560 交易量
$2,765,560 交易量
欧洲
71%
南美洲
23%
非洲
3%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
欧洲 71%
南美洲 23%
非洲 3.4%
亚洲 2.8%
$2,765,560 交易量
$2,765,560 交易量
欧洲
71%
南美洲
23%
非洲
3%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe maintains a dominant 70.5% implied probability in the market due to its unmatched depth of competitive national teams, including multiple recent finalists and consistent performers in major tournaments. South America's 22.5% position stems from the proven quality of sides like Argentina and Brazil, which have delivered the continent's historical successes. Markets assign minimal probabilities to Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania because no team from those continents has ever lifted the trophy, and current form plus qualification results show limited pathways against established powers. Recent results in international windows and confederation play have reinforced this hierarchy without shifting the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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