Avengers: Doomsday commands a strong market lead due to its positioning as the major MCU crossover event releasing December 18, 2026, with Robert Downey Jr. in a key role and early industry tracking projecting record-breaking theatrical performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits second on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland's established draw, though it trails the Avengers slate in scale. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which opened in early April, captured solid animated audience interest but faces stiffer competition from live-action tentpoles. Remaining contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Odyssey register lower implied probabilities given later or unconfirmed release windows and less dominant pre-release buzz. Traders weigh historical MCU holiday openings and franchise momentum as key swing factors heading into the second half of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 6%
Toy Story 5 2.2%
Dune: Messiah 1.4%
$18,638 交易量
$18,638 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
14%
Toy Story 5
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
6%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 6%
Toy Story 5 2.2%
Dune: Messiah 1.4%
$18,638 交易量
$18,638 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,139 交易量
75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1,122 交易量
14%
Toy Story 5
$697 交易量
2%
Dune: Messiah
$856 交易量
1%
The Odyssey
$795 交易量
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,089 交易量
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,283 交易量
6%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$3,293 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands a strong market lead due to its positioning as the major MCU crossover event releasing December 18, 2026, with Robert Downey Jr. in a key role and early industry tracking projecting record-breaking theatrical performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits second on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland's established draw, though it trails the Avengers slate in scale. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which opened in early April, captured solid animated audience interest but faces stiffer competition from live-action tentpoles. Remaining contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Odyssey register lower implied probabilities given later or unconfirmed release windows and less dominant pre-release buzz. Traders weigh historical MCU holiday openings and franchise momentum as key swing factors heading into the second half of the year.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$18,638结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands a strong market lead due to its positioning as the major MCU crossover event releasing December 18, 2026, with Robert Downey Jr. in a key role and early industry tracking projecting record-breaking theatrical performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits second on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland's established draw, though it trails the Avengers slate in scale. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which opened in early April, captured solid animated audience interest but faces stiffer competition from live-action tentpoles. Remaining contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Odyssey register lower implied probabilities given later or unconfirmed release windows and less dominant pre-release buzz. Traders weigh historical MCU holiday openings and franchise momentum as key swing factors heading into the second half of the year.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$18,638结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday commands a strong market lead due to its positioning as the major MCU crossover event releasing December 18, 2026, with Robert Downey Jr. in a key role and early industry tracking projecting record-breaking theatrical performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits second on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland's established draw, though it trails the Avengers slate in scale. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which opened in early April, captured solid animated audience interest but faces stiffer competition from live-action tentpoles. Remaining contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Odyssey register lower implied probabilities given later or unconfirmed release windows and less dominant pre-release buzz. Traders weigh historical MCU holiday openings and franchise momentum as key swing factors heading into the second half of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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