The 2026 Fields Medal, mathematics' most prestigious honor awarded every four years to researchers under 40, will be announced at the International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia this July. Trader sentiment centers on mathematicians with major recent breakthroughs, including Hong Wang's resolution of the Kakeya conjecture and Jacob Tsimerman's unconditional proof of the André–Oort conjecture in arithmetic geometry. Jack Thorne's advances in the Langlands program and contributions from figures like John Pardon add to the competitive field. Historical patterns favor those with deep, influential work across pure mathematics subfields, though the secret selection process by the International Mathematical Union leaves room for surprises based on committee priorities and emerging narratives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于谁将赢得2026年菲尔兹奖章?
$529,959 交易量
雅各布·奇梅尔曼
70%
王宏
72%
杰克·索恩
60%
邓宇
57%
Vesselin Dimitrov
44%
约翰·帕登
39%
朱利安·萨哈斯拉布德
24%
亚历山大·洛古诺夫
34%
威尔·索温
18%
萨姆·拉斯金
22%
亚历山大·叶菲莫夫
11%
$529,959 交易量
雅各布·奇梅尔曼
70%
王宏
72%
杰克·索恩
60%
邓宇
57%
Vesselin Dimitrov
44%
约翰·帕登
39%
朱利安·萨哈斯拉布德
24%
亚历山大·洛古诺夫
34%
威尔·索温
18%
萨姆·拉斯金
22%
亚历山大·叶菲莫夫
11%
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Fields Medal, mathematics' most prestigious honor awarded every four years to researchers under 40, will be announced at the International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia this July. Trader sentiment centers on mathematicians with major recent breakthroughs, including Hong Wang's resolution of the Kakeya conjecture and Jacob Tsimerman's unconditional proof of the André–Oort conjecture in arithmetic geometry. Jack Thorne's advances in the Langlands program and contributions from figures like John Pardon add to the competitive field. Historical patterns favor those with deep, influential work across pure mathematics subfields, though the secret selection process by the International Mathematical Union leaves room for surprises based on committee priorities and emerging narratives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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