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icon for Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

icon for Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

4% 概率
Polymarket
最新
4% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has shown no public interest, filings, statements, or outreach to Delaware Democratic Party officials ahead of the July 14, 2026 deadline for a U.S. Senate bid against incumbent Chris Coons. Established primary candidates, including Christopher Beardsley, have already entered the race, and no endorsements or structural groundwork have emerged to support a late Hunter Biden candidacy. This absence of preparatory activity underpins trader consensus at 96.5% probability against an announcement. A sudden declaration remains theoretically possible if family or personal factors shift abruptly, though the lack of prior signals makes such an outcome improbable within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,197
结束日期
2026-07-14
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has shown no public interest, filings, statements, or outreach to Delaware Democratic Party officials ahead of the July 14, 2026 deadline for a U.S. Senate bid against incumbent Chris Coons. Established primary candidates, including Christopher Beardsley, have already entered the race, and no endorsements or structural groundwork have emerged to support a late Hunter Biden candidacy. This absence of preparatory activity underpins trader consensus at 96.5% probability against an announcement. A sudden declaration remains theoretically possible if family or personal factors shift abruptly, though the lack of prior signals makes such an outcome improbable within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,197
结束日期
2026-07-14
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 4%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 4¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 19, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?"的当前概率为 4%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 4%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。