Early 2028 presidential nomination markets reflect a wide-open field where male candidates such as JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio hold the strongest positions in trader pricing, while prominent female figures including Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer register far lower implied probabilities. Post-2024 party positioning has emphasized governors, senators, and administration officials with established national profiles, none of whom are women currently leading aggregates or prediction contracts. Primary dynamics remain fluid ahead of formal announcements, with polling averages showing name recognition favoring established male contenders and limited momentum shifts for women in recent surveys. Resolution hinges on the November 2028 general election outcome, where structural factors like Electoral College math and turnout patterns continue to shape consensus around the low likelihood of a female winner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$11,611 交易量
$11,611 交易量
2028-11-07
是
$11,611 交易量
$11,611 交易量
2028-11-07
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early 2028 presidential nomination markets reflect a wide-open field where male candidates such as JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio hold the strongest positions in trader pricing, while prominent female figures including Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer register far lower implied probabilities. Post-2024 party positioning has emphasized governors, senators, and administration officials with established national profiles, none of whom are women currently leading aggregates or prediction contracts. Primary dynamics remain fluid ahead of formal announcements, with polling averages showing name recognition favoring established male contenders and limited momentum shifts for women in recent surveys. Resolution hinges on the November 2028 general election outcome, where structural factors like Electoral College math and turnout patterns continue to shape consensus around the low likelihood of a female winner.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
交易量
$11,611结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early 2028 presidential nomination markets reflect a wide-open field where male candidates such as JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio hold the strongest positions in trader pricing, while prominent female figures including Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer register far lower implied probabilities. Post-2024 party positioning has emphasized governors, senators, and administration officials with established national profiles, none of whom are women currently leading aggregates or prediction contracts. Primary dynamics remain fluid ahead of formal announcements, with polling averages showing name recognition favoring established male contenders and limited momentum shifts for women in recent surveys. Resolution hinges on the November 2028 general election outcome, where structural factors like Electoral College math and turnout patterns continue to shape consensus around the low likelihood of a female winner.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$11,611结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early 2028 presidential nomination markets reflect a wide-open field where male candidates such as JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio hold the strongest positions in trader pricing, while prominent female figures including Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer register far lower implied probabilities. Post-2024 party positioning has emphasized governors, senators, and administration officials with established national profiles, none of whom are women currently leading aggregates or prediction contracts. Primary dynamics remain fluid ahead of formal announcements, with polling averages showing name recognition favoring established male contenders and limited momentum shifts for women in recent surveys. Resolution hinges on the November 2028 general election outcome, where structural factors like Electoral College math and turnout patterns continue to shape consensus around the low likelihood of a female winner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题