The Sudanese Armed Forces consolidated control of Khartoum state by May 2025 after expelling RSF forces from the capital region following prolonged urban combat, establishing firm defensive positions that have held through 2026. With front lines now concentrated in North and South Kordofan as well as Darfur, RSF units operate far from the capital and remain engaged in consolidating western gains rather than mounting a renewed push eastward. The approaching rainy season, extended supply lines, and SAF air and ground dominance further constrain any rapid RSF advance capable of reaching Khartoum before the June 30 resolution date. While external arms flows or a sudden collapse in SAF cohesion could theoretically reopen opportunities, current territorial and logistical realities underpin the strong trader consensus against an RSF capture in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$22,128 交易量
$22,128 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$22,128 交易量
$22,128 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces consolidated control of Khartoum state by May 2025 after expelling RSF forces from the capital region following prolonged urban combat, establishing firm defensive positions that have held through 2026. With front lines now concentrated in North and South Kordofan as well as Darfur, RSF units operate far from the capital and remain engaged in consolidating western gains rather than mounting a renewed push eastward. The approaching rainy season, extended supply lines, and SAF air and ground dominance further constrain any rapid RSF advance capable of reaching Khartoum before the June 30 resolution date. While external arms flows or a sudden collapse in SAF cohesion could theoretically reopen opportunities, current territorial and logistical realities underpin the strong trader consensus against an RSF capture in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
交易量
$22,128结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces consolidated control of Khartoum state by May 2025 after expelling RSF forces from the capital region following prolonged urban combat, establishing firm defensive positions that have held through 2026. With front lines now concentrated in North and South Kordofan as well as Darfur, RSF units operate far from the capital and remain engaged in consolidating western gains rather than mounting a renewed push eastward. The approaching rainy season, extended supply lines, and SAF air and ground dominance further constrain any rapid RSF advance capable of reaching Khartoum before the June 30 resolution date. While external arms flows or a sudden collapse in SAF cohesion could theoretically reopen opportunities, current territorial and logistical realities underpin the strong trader consensus against an RSF capture in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
交易量
$22,128结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces consolidated control of Khartoum state by May 2025 after expelling RSF forces from the capital region following prolonged urban combat, establishing firm defensive positions that have held through 2026. With front lines now concentrated in North and South Kordofan as well as Darfur, RSF units operate far from the capital and remain engaged in consolidating western gains rather than mounting a renewed push eastward. The approaching rainy season, extended supply lines, and SAF air and ground dominance further constrain any rapid RSF advance capable of reaching Khartoum before the June 30 resolution date. While external arms flows or a sudden collapse in SAF cohesion could theoretically reopen opportunities, current territorial and logistical realities underpin the strong trader consensus against an RSF capture in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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