Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 and its $65 billion Series H round closed May 28 at a $965 billion post-money valuation represent the dominant catalysts anchoring trader sentiment. These events, following a tripling of value since February, signal strong institutional demand and position the company for a 2026 IPO that could command a sizable public-market premium amid sustained AI sector momentum and enterprise revenue acceleration. Market-implied odds, with the $2.0–$2.25 trillion bracket at 39 percent, reflect expectations that listing dynamics will lift the closing market cap well above the latest private benchmark, tempered by uncertainty around exact timing, share supply, and broader equity valuations. The low 7 percent probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 underscores broad consensus on near-term listing while leaving room for macroeconomic or regulatory shifts to alter the path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2.0–$2.25T 39%
$2.5–$2.75T 17%
$2.25–$2.5T 12%
$1.75–$2.0T 11%
<$1.25T
7%
$1.25–$1.5T
10%
$1.5–$1.75T
3%
$1.75–$2.0T
11%
$2.0–$2.25T
39%
$2.25–$2.5T
12%
$2.5–$2.75T
17%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
8%
$2.0–$2.25T 39%
$2.5–$2.75T 17%
$2.25–$2.5T 12%
$1.75–$2.0T 11%
<$1.25T
7%
$1.25–$1.5T
10%
$1.5–$1.75T
3%
$1.75–$2.0T
11%
$2.0–$2.25T
39%
$2.25–$2.5T
12%
$2.5–$2.75T
17%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
8%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 and its $65 billion Series H round closed May 28 at a $965 billion post-money valuation represent the dominant catalysts anchoring trader sentiment. These events, following a tripling of value since February, signal strong institutional demand and position the company for a 2026 IPO that could command a sizable public-market premium amid sustained AI sector momentum and enterprise revenue acceleration. Market-implied odds, with the $2.0–$2.25 trillion bracket at 39 percent, reflect expectations that listing dynamics will lift the closing market cap well above the latest private benchmark, tempered by uncertainty around exact timing, share supply, and broader equity valuations. The low 7 percent probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 underscores broad consensus on near-term listing while leaving room for macroeconomic or regulatory shifts to alter the path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题