Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered sharp global inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, sustaining WTI crude prices near $92 per barrel as of June 2 despite a pullback from April peaks above $110. The EIA projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June amid these constraints, though gradual production recovery and shipping resumption are expected to ease backwardation later in the month. Trader focus centers on weekly EIA stockpile data, any ceasefire signals, and OPEC+ output adjustments as key swing factors heading into month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$127,406 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
53%
85美元
57%
80美元
67%
75美元
84%
70美元
91%
65美元
92%
63美元
95%
60美元
95%
56美元
96%
$55
98%
52美元
99%
50美元
99%
$127,406 交易量
90美元
$25,977 交易量
53%
85美元
$5,879 交易量
57%
80美元
$5,954 交易量
67%
75美元
$16,769 交易量
84%
70美元
$19,604 交易量
91%
65美元
$872 交易量
92%
63美元
$8,987 交易量
95%
60美元
$21,068 交易量
95%
56美元
$4,950 交易量
96%
$55
$2,914 交易量
98%
52美元
$6,332 交易量
99%
50美元
$8,100 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered sharp global inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, sustaining WTI crude prices near $92 per barrel as of June 2 despite a pullback from April peaks above $110. The EIA projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June amid these constraints, though gradual production recovery and shipping resumption are expected to ease backwardation later in the month. Trader focus centers on weekly EIA stockpile data, any ceasefire signals, and OPEC+ output adjustments as key swing factors heading into month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$127,406结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered sharp global inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, sustaining WTI crude prices near $92 per barrel as of June 2 despite a pullback from April peaks above $110. The EIA projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June amid these constraints, though gradual production recovery and shipping resumption are expected to ease backwardation later in the month. Trader focus centers on weekly EIA stockpile data, any ceasefire signals, and OPEC+ output adjustments as key swing factors heading into month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$127,406结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have triggered sharp global inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, sustaining WTI crude prices near $92 per barrel as of June 2 despite a pullback from April peaks above $110. The EIA projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel in May and June amid these constraints, though gradual production recovery and shipping resumption are expected to ease backwardation later in the month. Trader focus centers on weekly EIA stockpile data, any ceasefire signals, and OPEC+ output adjustments as key swing factors heading into month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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