Recent Middle East supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure drove sharp inventory draws and price spikes above $130 per barrel in April 2026, but subsequent production recovery and shipping normalization have reversed much of that gain. WTI crude now trades near $90–93 per barrel amid easing backwardation in futures curves, reflecting trader expectations of restored flows and potential inventory builds later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, any further signals on Hormuz traffic resumption, OPEC+ output adjustments, and broader demand trends tied to global economic growth. These developments keep the probability of reaching the $147 all-time high low in the near term while leaving room for renewed volatility if geopolitical risks re-escalate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$692,959 交易量
2026-12-31
June 30
5%
September 30
23%
December 31
31%
$692,959 交易量
June 30
$78,348 交易量
5%
September 30
$99,811 交易量
23%
December 31
$66,247 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent Middle East supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure drove sharp inventory draws and price spikes above $130 per barrel in April 2026, but subsequent production recovery and shipping normalization have reversed much of that gain. WTI crude now trades near $90–93 per barrel amid easing backwardation in futures curves, reflecting trader expectations of restored flows and potential inventory builds later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, any further signals on Hormuz traffic resumption, OPEC+ output adjustments, and broader demand trends tied to global economic growth. These developments keep the probability of reaching the $147 all-time high low in the near term while leaving room for renewed volatility if geopolitical risks re-escalate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$692,959结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent Middle East supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure drove sharp inventory draws and price spikes above $130 per barrel in April 2026, but subsequent production recovery and shipping normalization have reversed much of that gain. WTI crude now trades near $90–93 per barrel amid easing backwardation in futures curves, reflecting trader expectations of restored flows and potential inventory builds later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, any further signals on Hormuz traffic resumption, OPEC+ output adjustments, and broader demand trends tied to global economic growth. These developments keep the probability of reaching the $147 all-time high low in the near term while leaving room for renewed volatility if geopolitical risks re-escalate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$692,959结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure drove sharp inventory draws and price spikes above $130 per barrel in April 2026, but subsequent production recovery and shipping normalization have reversed much of that gain. WTI crude now trades near $90–93 per barrel amid easing backwardation in futures curves, reflecting trader expectations of restored flows and potential inventory builds later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, any further signals on Hormuz traffic resumption, OPEC+ output adjustments, and broader demand trends tied to global economic growth. These developments keep the probability of reaching the $147 all-time high low in the near term while leaving room for renewed volatility if geopolitical risks re-escalate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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