The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's record-shattering April 1 opening of $131.7 million domestically, driven by the Nintendo franchise's massive built-in audience and premium format appeal, has propelled it to roughly $427 million in North American grosses by late May—levels no other April release can realistically approach. Smaller-scale competitors such as the romantic comedy You, Me & Tuscany and titles like Mother Mary or Michael lack comparable marketing scale, star power, or family-friendly draw, leaving them tracking for far lower totals. With the market resolving May 31 and the animated sequel already holding a multi-hundred-million-dollar lead, trader consensus reflects the proven historical dominance of major video-game adaptations in this window. An upset would require an unprecedented legs surge from an unheralded underperformer, a scenario with virtually no precedent in recent box-office data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月31日国内票房最高的4月电影?
超级马里奥银河电影 99.4%
迈克尔 <1%
圣母玛利亚 <1%
荒原警探 <1%
$281,959 交易量
$281,959 交易量
超级马里奥银河电影
99%
迈克尔
<1%
圣母玛利亚
<1%
荒原警探
<1%
你、我和托斯卡纳
<1%
捕风者
<1%
洛恩
<1%
超级马里奥银河电影 99.4%
迈克尔 <1%
圣母玛利亚 <1%
荒原警探 <1%
$281,959 交易量
$281,959 交易量
超级马里奥银河电影
99%
迈克尔
<1%
圣母玛利亚
<1%
荒原警探
<1%
你、我和托斯卡纳
<1%
捕风者
<1%
洛恩
<1%
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's record-shattering April 1 opening of $131.7 million domestically, driven by the Nintendo franchise's massive built-in audience and premium format appeal, has propelled it to roughly $427 million in North American grosses by late May—levels no other April release can realistically approach. Smaller-scale competitors such as the romantic comedy You, Me & Tuscany and titles like Mother Mary or Michael lack comparable marketing scale, star power, or family-friendly draw, leaving them tracking for far lower totals. With the market resolving May 31 and the animated sequel already holding a multi-hundred-million-dollar lead, trader consensus reflects the proven historical dominance of major video-game adaptations in this window. An upset would require an unprecedented legs surge from an unheralded underperformer, a scenario with virtually no precedent in recent box-office data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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