Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, by the Assembly of Experts following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes in the 2026 Iran war. He has issued written statements through state media on retaliation, nuclear policy direction, and pressure on the Strait of Hormuz but has made no verified public appearances or video statements since assuming the role, with reports citing possible injuries and "understandable reasons" for seclusion. As supreme leader during active conflict, his institutional responsibilities center on regime cohesion, IRGC coordination, and internal stability, with no confirmed plans or diplomatic signals indicating departure from Iranian territory. Trader pricing on near-term exit dates reflects these structural constraints and the low probability of absence amid wartime leadership demands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,743,879 交易量
2026-06-30
6月30日
3%
$1,743,879 交易量
6月30日
$333,647 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, by the Assembly of Experts following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes in the 2026 Iran war. He has issued written statements through state media on retaliation, nuclear policy direction, and pressure on the Strait of Hormuz but has made no verified public appearances or video statements since assuming the role, with reports citing possible injuries and "understandable reasons" for seclusion. As supreme leader during active conflict, his institutional responsibilities center on regime cohesion, IRGC coordination, and internal stability, with no confirmed plans or diplomatic signals indicating departure from Iranian territory. Trader pricing on near-term exit dates reflects these structural constraints and the low probability of absence amid wartime leadership demands.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,743,879结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, by the Assembly of Experts following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes in the 2026 Iran war. He has issued written statements through state media on retaliation, nuclear policy direction, and pressure on the Strait of Hormuz but has made no verified public appearances or video statements since assuming the role, with reports citing possible injuries and "understandable reasons" for seclusion. As supreme leader during active conflict, his institutional responsibilities center on regime cohesion, IRGC coordination, and internal stability, with no confirmed plans or diplomatic signals indicating departure from Iranian territory. Trader pricing on near-term exit dates reflects these structural constraints and the low probability of absence amid wartime leadership demands.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,743,879结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, by the Assembly of Experts following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes in the 2026 Iran war. He has issued written statements through state media on retaliation, nuclear policy direction, and pressure on the Strait of Hormuz but has made no verified public appearances or video statements since assuming the role, with reports citing possible injuries and "understandable reasons" for seclusion. As supreme leader during active conflict, his institutional responsibilities center on regime cohesion, IRGC coordination, and internal stability, with no confirmed plans or diplomatic signals indicating departure from Iranian territory. Trader pricing on near-term exit dates reflects these structural constraints and the low probability of absence amid wartime leadership demands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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