Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to communications with Jeffrey Epstein during his time as a British trade envoy, but authorities released him after roughly 11 hours without filing charges. The Thames Valley Police investigation has shown no further movement toward indictment by late May 2026. The common-law offense carries a high evidentiary threshold that experts describe as rarely met in cases involving senior officials. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, insufficient time remains for charging, trial proceedings, conviction, and sentencing even if the probe advances. These structural barriers underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a no outcome at 92 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$211,177 交易量
$211,177 交易量
是
$211,177 交易量
$211,177 交易量
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to communications with Jeffrey Epstein during his time as a British trade envoy, but authorities released him after roughly 11 hours without filing charges. The Thames Valley Police investigation has shown no further movement toward indictment by late May 2026. The common-law offense carries a high evidentiary threshold that experts describe as rarely met in cases involving senior officials. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, insufficient time remains for charging, trial proceedings, conviction, and sentencing even if the probe advances. These structural barriers underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a no outcome at 92 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题