The closely contested 51.5% implied probability on “No” for an NFL supplemental draft in 2026 stems primarily from uncertainty surrounding Texas Tech quarterback Brendan Sorsby’s NCAA eligibility amid an ongoing gambling investigation. Sorsby, who has until June 30 to apply, could trigger the rare process only if ruled ineligible for the 2026 college season and approved by the league; the NFL has canceled the supplemental draft in both 2024 and 2025, with no player selected since 2019. Recent form shows the league reviews applications case-by-case and typically holds the event in July only when qualified prospects emerge, creating balanced trader views on whether Sorsby’s situation or any other late-eligibility development will produce enough interest to proceed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于If the NFL announces a supplemental draft, but the draft does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 4, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the NFL announces a supplemental draft, but the draft does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 51.5% implied probability on “No” for an NFL supplemental draft in 2026 stems primarily from uncertainty surrounding Texas Tech quarterback Brendan Sorsby’s NCAA eligibility amid an ongoing gambling investigation. Sorsby, who has until June 30 to apply, could trigger the rare process only if ruled ineligible for the 2026 college season and approved by the league; the NFL has canceled the supplemental draft in both 2024 and 2025, with no player selected since 2019. Recent form shows the league reviews applications case-by-case and typically holds the event in July only when qualified prospects emerge, creating balanced trader views on whether Sorsby’s situation or any other late-eligibility development will produce enough interest to proceed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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