The market-implied 96.7 percent probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate at its June 16 meeting stems primarily from the 25 basis point hike to 4.35 percent delivered in May, which has given policymakers room to pause and evaluate the lagged effects of three consecutive tightenings. April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 4.2 percent year-over-year while the trimmed mean edged to 3.4 percent, consistent with the RBA's data-dependent stance and major bank forecasts for a hold through mid-year. ASX futures pricing and economist consensus uniformly anticipate stability to monitor labor market conditions and growth, with risks tilted toward further hikes only if inflation reaccelerates. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release on June 24 or signs of sharper demand weakness could still alter the near-term path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于无变化 96.7%
上调 2.9%
下调 <1%
$33,717 交易量
$33,717 交易量
2026-06-16
下调
<1%
无变化
97%
上调
3%
无变化 96.7%
上调 2.9%
下调 <1%
$33,717 交易量
$33,717 交易量
2026-06-16
下调
$10,164 交易量
<1%
无变化
$11,932 交易量
97%
上调
$11,621 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The market-implied 96.7 percent probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate at its June 16 meeting stems primarily from the 25 basis point hike to 4.35 percent delivered in May, which has given policymakers room to pause and evaluate the lagged effects of three consecutive tightenings. April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 4.2 percent year-over-year while the trimmed mean edged to 3.4 percent, consistent with the RBA's data-dependent stance and major bank forecasts for a hold through mid-year. ASX futures pricing and economist consensus uniformly anticipate stability to monitor labor market conditions and growth, with risks tilted toward further hikes only if inflation reaccelerates. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release on June 24 or signs of sharper demand weakness could still alter the near-term path.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$33,717结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The market-implied 96.7 percent probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate at its June 16 meeting stems primarily from the 25 basis point hike to 4.35 percent delivered in May, which has given policymakers room to pause and evaluate the lagged effects of three consecutive tightenings. April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 4.2 percent year-over-year while the trimmed mean edged to 3.4 percent, consistent with the RBA's data-dependent stance and major bank forecasts for a hold through mid-year. ASX futures pricing and economist consensus uniformly anticipate stability to monitor labor market conditions and growth, with risks tilted toward further hikes only if inflation reaccelerates. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release on June 24 or signs of sharper demand weakness could still alter the near-term path.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
交易量
$33,717结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied 96.7 percent probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate at its June 16 meeting stems primarily from the 25 basis point hike to 4.35 percent delivered in May, which has given policymakers room to pause and evaluate the lagged effects of three consecutive tightenings. April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation easing to 4.2 percent year-over-year while the trimmed mean edged to 3.4 percent, consistent with the RBA's data-dependent stance and major bank forecasts for a hold through mid-year. ASX futures pricing and economist consensus uniformly anticipate stability to monitor labor market conditions and growth, with risks tilted toward further hikes only if inflation reaccelerates. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release on June 24 or signs of sharper demand weakness could still alter the near-term path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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