The U.S. administration has shown no indication it will recognize María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by year-end, consistent with trader pricing of the “No” outcome at 91 percent. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern and declined to back her for the role. The administration has instead coordinated with interim authorities including Delcy Rodríguez, pursued diplomatic engagement on security and energy issues, and previously recognized Edmundo González as the rightful 2024 election winner. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal recognition process or policy shift toward Machado, account for the current market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$23,353 交易量
$23,353 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$23,353 交易量
$23,353 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration has shown no indication it will recognize María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by year-end, consistent with trader pricing of the “No” outcome at 91 percent. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern and declined to back her for the role. The administration has instead coordinated with interim authorities including Delcy Rodríguez, pursued diplomatic engagement on security and energy issues, and previously recognized Edmundo González as the rightful 2024 election winner. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal recognition process or policy shift toward Machado, account for the current market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
交易量
$23,353结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration has shown no indication it will recognize María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by year-end, consistent with trader pricing of the “No” outcome at 91 percent. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern and declined to back her for the role. The administration has instead coordinated with interim authorities including Delcy Rodríguez, pursued diplomatic engagement on security and energy issues, and previously recognized Edmundo González as the rightful 2024 election winner. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal recognition process or policy shift toward Machado, account for the current market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,353结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. administration has shown no indication it will recognize María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by year-end, consistent with trader pricing of the “No” outcome at 91 percent. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, President Trump publicly stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to govern and declined to back her for the role. The administration has instead coordinated with interim authorities including Delcy Rodríguez, pursued diplomatic engagement on security and energy issues, and previously recognized Edmundo González as the rightful 2024 election winner. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal recognition process or policy shift toward Machado, account for the current market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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