US military actions against Iran began on February 28, 2026, alongside Israel, targeting nuclear and military sites amid maximum pressure on Tehran’s program and regional proxies, yet no congressional declaration of war has occurred under Article I authority. Ongoing diplomacy since the April 2026 temporary ceasefire—brokered indirectly with Pakistani and Qatari involvement—centers on Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, uranium enrichment limits, and verification, with revised US proposals sent in early June and tentative frameworks reported in late May. Core disputes persist over nuclear curbs and security guarantees, while enforcement operations and factional divisions in Iran shape the trajectory. Traders assess formal declaration risks against these de-escalation signals, scheduled talks, and historical patterns of limited authorizations rather than declarations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,549,505 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
7%
$7,549,505 交易量
12月31日
$576,870 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military actions against Iran began on February 28, 2026, alongside Israel, targeting nuclear and military sites amid maximum pressure on Tehran’s program and regional proxies, yet no congressional declaration of war has occurred under Article I authority. Ongoing diplomacy since the April 2026 temporary ceasefire—brokered indirectly with Pakistani and Qatari involvement—centers on Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, uranium enrichment limits, and verification, with revised US proposals sent in early June and tentative frameworks reported in late May. Core disputes persist over nuclear curbs and security guarantees, while enforcement operations and factional divisions in Iran shape the trajectory. Traders assess formal declaration risks against these de-escalation signals, scheduled talks, and historical patterns of limited authorizations rather than declarations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,549,505结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military actions against Iran began on February 28, 2026, alongside Israel, targeting nuclear and military sites amid maximum pressure on Tehran’s program and regional proxies, yet no congressional declaration of war has occurred under Article I authority. Ongoing diplomacy since the April 2026 temporary ceasefire—brokered indirectly with Pakistani and Qatari involvement—centers on Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, uranium enrichment limits, and verification, with revised US proposals sent in early June and tentative frameworks reported in late May. Core disputes persist over nuclear curbs and security guarantees, while enforcement operations and factional divisions in Iran shape the trajectory. Traders assess formal declaration risks against these de-escalation signals, scheduled talks, and historical patterns of limited authorizations rather than declarations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,549,505结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military actions against Iran began on February 28, 2026, alongside Israel, targeting nuclear and military sites amid maximum pressure on Tehran’s program and regional proxies, yet no congressional declaration of war has occurred under Article I authority. Ongoing diplomacy since the April 2026 temporary ceasefire—brokered indirectly with Pakistani and Qatari involvement—centers on Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, uranium enrichment limits, and verification, with revised US proposals sent in early June and tentative frameworks reported in late May. Core disputes persist over nuclear curbs and security guarantees, while enforcement operations and factional divisions in Iran shape the trajectory. Traders assess formal declaration risks against these de-escalation signals, scheduled talks, and historical patterns of limited authorizations rather than declarations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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