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icon for 阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

icon for 阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

11% 概率
Polymarket

$91,441 交易量

11% 概率
Polymarket

$91,441 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials have continued active participation in GCC summits and joint ministerial meetings through late 2025 and into 2026, including the December 2025 Supreme Council session and recent foreign ministers' coordination ahead of collective gatherings. These engagements occur alongside shared stances on regional security issues, such as support for UAE claims over disputed islands with Iran. Although bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia have surfaced over oil production policy and regional influence following the UAE's April 2026 OPEC exit, no statements or procedural steps have signaled intent to exit the GCC itself. Traders assign an 89.5% probability to the "No" outcome because the bloc's framework for economic coordination and collective diplomacy remains intact, with no scheduled events or announcements in the near term that would alter that consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$91,441
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials have continued active participation in GCC summits and joint ministerial meetings through late 2025 and into 2026, including the December 2025 Supreme Council session and recent foreign ministers' coordination ahead of collective gatherings. These engagements occur alongside shared stances on regional security issues, such as support for UAE claims over disputed islands with Iran. Although bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia have surfaced over oil production policy and regional influence following the UAE's April 2026 OPEC exit, no statements or procedural steps have signaled intent to exit the GCC itself. Traders assign an 89.5% probability to the "No" outcome because the bloc's framework for economic coordination and collective diplomacy remains intact, with no scheduled events or announcements in the near term that would alter that consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$91,441
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"阿联酋会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会吗?",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"已产生 $91.4K 的总交易量(自Apr 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"的当前领先者是"阿联酋会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会吗?",概率为 11%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。