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Jun 13, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?

100%
85%
2
icon for Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?

100%
81%
3
icon for Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

100%
71%
4
icon for AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

92%
67%
5
icon for Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

100%
56%
6
icon for Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

100%
56%
7
icon for Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

2%
52%
8
icon for Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

100%
51%
9
icon for SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

0%
49%
10
icon for Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?

100%
33%
11
icon for Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?

0%
32%
12
icon for SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

100%
30%
13
icon for Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

100%
30%
14
icon for Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

63%
29%
15
icon for Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

41%
23%
16
icon for Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

34%
22%
17
icon for Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

4%
21%
18
icon for Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?

66%
20%
19
icon for Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?

43%
20%
20
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

35%
19%
21
icon for Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

26%
19%
22
icon for Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

68%
17%
23
icon for Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

71%
17%
24
icon for Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

38%
16%
25
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

42%
14%