Skip to main content

Breaking World News & Predictions

Jun 15, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

100%
75%
2
icon for Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

10%
70%
3
icon for Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

100%
62%
4
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

87%
62%
5
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

73%
51%
6
icon for Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

83%
43%
7
icon for Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

80%
43%
8
icon for US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

3%
41%
9
icon for US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

100%
33%
10
icon for Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

78%
23%
11
icon for Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

55%
20%
12
icon for No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

13%
20%
13
icon for Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

66%
19%
14
icon for Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

66%
17%
15
icon for Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

72%
15%
16
icon for Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

21%
15%
17
icon for US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

86%
11%
18
icon for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

28%
9%
19
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

36%
9%
20
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

65%
9%
21
icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

63%
9%
22
icon for Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

26%
8%
23
icon for Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

19%
8%
24
icon for US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

39%
7%
25
icon for Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

19%
6%
26
icon for Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

59%
6%
27
icon for Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

27%
6%
28
icon for Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

4%
6%
29
icon for US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

8%
5%
30
icon for Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

7%
1%