Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove sharp inventory draws and elevated WTI prices through May, with Brent averaging near $106 per barrel amid 8.5 million barrels per day of second-quarter withdrawals. Recent ceasefire progress and gradual resumption of Hormuz flows have eased near-term risk premiums, pulling WTI futures toward the low $90s as of early June. OPEC’s downward revision of 2026 demand growth to 1.17 million barrels per day, combined with rising non-OPEC output, reinforces expectations of a widening surplus later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA stockpile data, diplomatic updates on regional production recovery, and OPEC+ decisions that could influence June price paths amid ongoing uncertainty over full supply restoration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$344,398 交易量
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
3%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
6%
↑ $120
11%
↑ $110
24%
↑ $100
55%
↓ $80
47%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $30
1%
↓ $20
<1%
$344,398 交易量
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
3%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
6%
↑ $120
11%
↑ $110
24%
↑ $100
55%
↓ $80
47%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $30
1%
↓ $20
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
市场开放时间: May 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove sharp inventory draws and elevated WTI prices through May, with Brent averaging near $106 per barrel amid 8.5 million barrels per day of second-quarter withdrawals. Recent ceasefire progress and gradual resumption of Hormuz flows have eased near-term risk premiums, pulling WTI futures toward the low $90s as of early June. OPEC’s downward revision of 2026 demand growth to 1.17 million barrels per day, combined with rising non-OPEC output, reinforces expectations of a widening surplus later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA stockpile data, diplomatic updates on regional production recovery, and OPEC+ decisions that could influence June price paths amid ongoing uncertainty over full supply restoration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题