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2026 FIFA World Cup predictions & odds

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World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

16%

Spain

$2B Vol.

$80M today

$494M Liq.

1,286

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

16%

Kylian Mbappe

$10M Vol.

$2M today

$6M Liq.

82

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

99%

Germany

$3M Vol.

$506K today

$1M Liq.

20

Ends in 13 days

World Cup Group E Winner

World Cup Group E Winner

75%

Germany

$487K Vol.

$113K today

$146K Liq.

5

Ends in 12 days

World Cup Group F Winner

World Cup Group F Winner

47%

Netherlands

$524K Vol.

$103K today

$153K Liq.

8

Ends in 12 days

World Cup Group D Winner

World Cup Group D Winner

71%

USA

$920K Vol.

$92.7K today

$183K Liq.

15

Ends in 12 days

World Cup: Player to score

World Cup: Player to score

90%

Lionel Messi

$608K Vol.

$77.5K today

$142K Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 month

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Which continent will win the World Cup?

73%

Europe (UEFA)

$4M Vol.

$76.8K today

$1M Liq.

35

World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

83%

France

$733K Vol.

$74.9K today

$513K Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

World Cup Group H Winner

World Cup Group H Winner

78%

Spain

$384K Vol.

$64.2K today

$216K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

28%

Spain

$723K Vol.

$62.5K today

$4M Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup Group A Winner

World Cup Group A Winner

64%

Mexico

$1M Vol.

$60.1K today

$251K Liq.

17

Ends in 12 days

World Cup Group C Winner

World Cup Group C Winner

60%

Brazil

$807K Vol.

$56.9K today

$250K Liq.

22

Ends in 12 days

World Cup Group G Winner

World Cup Group G Winner

72%

Belgium

$353K Vol.

$56.2K today

$175K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

World Cup Group B Winner

World Cup Group B Winner

45%

Switzerland

$775K Vol.

$55.3K today

$169K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

29%

Germany

$291K Vol.

$52.4K today

$1M Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

World Cup Group K Winner

World Cup Group K Winner

64%

Portugal

$370K Vol.

$188K Liq.

11

Ends in 12 days

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

63%

Spain

$612K Vol.

$2M Liq.

World Cup: Team to Concede the Most Goals (Group Stage)

World Cup: Team to Concede the Most Goals (Group Stage)

81%

Curaçao

$52.2K Vol.

$62.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

47%

Spain

$397K Vol.

$3M Liq.

2

Ends in 28 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Polymarket currently hosts 369 active markets for 2026 FIFA World Cup that lets you track or trade on predictions like “World Cup Winner ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to Spain. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.