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California predictions & odds

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California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

88%

Xavier Becerra

$39M Vol.

$206K today

$6M Liq.

86

Ends in 5 months

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

15%

$3M Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

18

Ends in 5 months

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

22%

$152K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 days

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

99%

Xavier Becerra

$879K Vol.

$660K Liq.

10

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

92%

Fiona Ma

$27.0K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

94%

Becerra <5%

$31.4K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

98%

Steve Hilton

$4.8K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

1

Boston Cannons vs. California Redwoods

Boston Cannons vs. California Redwoods

51%

California Redwoods

$0 Vol.

$18 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

New York Charging vs. California Palms

New York Charging vs. California Palms

50%

California Palms

$0 Vol.

$41 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

97%

Tom Steyer

$9.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

1

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

95%

Steve Hilton

$8.7K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

67%

Xavier Becerra

$10.2K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

99%

Xavier Becerra

$27.2K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Utah Archers vs. California Redwoods

Utah Archers vs. California Redwoods

74%

California Redwoods

$0 Vol.

$558 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

California Redwoods vs. New York Atlas

California Redwoods vs. New York Atlas

100%

California Redwoods

$140 Vol.

$346 Liq.

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

4%

$543 Vol.

$119 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

40%

$8.2K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)

California Baptist Lancers

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

3%

$108K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

95%

California

$307K Vol.

$231K Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like California.

Polymarket currently hosts 146 active markets for California that lets you track or trade on predictions like “California Governor Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $44.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “California Governor Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “California Governor Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 88% chance to Xavier Becerra. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on California predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.