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Daily Close predictions & odds

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Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

26%

0-10

$66.3K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 15?

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 15?

94%

Up

$1.3K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 16?

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 16?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$7 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 15?

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 15?

97%

Up

$2.6K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 16?

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 16?

50%

Up

$2 Vol.

$6 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

35%

Up

$173 Vol.

$673 Liq.

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 15?

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 15?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$11 Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 15?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 15?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$119 Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

37%

Up

$2.7K Vol.

$678 Liq.

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 16?

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 16?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above ___ end of June?

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above ___ end of June?

100%

$1.00

$3.5K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026

USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026

36%

160-170

$1.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 16?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 16?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$15 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

74%

↑$850B

$206K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?

50%

$5.00-$6.00

$4.1K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

88%

↑$900B

$647K Vol.

$81.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

96%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$10.1K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 15?

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 15?

94%

Up

$2.1K Vol.

$587 Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 16?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 16?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$7 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Meta (META) Up or Down on June 15?

Meta (META) Up or Down on June 15?

88%

Up

$1.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Daily Close that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $949K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 88% chance to ↑$900B. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Daily Close predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.