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Strait Of Hormuz predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

30%

$23M Vol.

$3M today

$392K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

<1%

$11M Vol.

$2M today

$588K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

62%

$6M Vol.

$581K today

$170K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

87%

$2M Vol.

$302K today

$222K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

48%

$288K Vol.

$260K today

$80.1K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

62%

United States

$915K Vol.

$213K today

$66.1K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

79%

20+

$388K Vol.

$77.1K today

$121K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

67%

25-49

$49.5K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

29%

0-10

$65.1K Vol.

$59.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

7%

$25.5K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

32%

100+

$1.7K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

$8.5K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

85%

Oil Sanction Relief

$2M Vol.

$582K today

$207K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

25%

$378K Vol.

$94.0K today

$29.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

30%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$2M today

$202K Liq.

173

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

2%

June 13

$56M Vol.

$5M today

$4M Liq.

1,036

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

14%

September 30

$5M Vol.

$119K today

$186K Liq.

140

Ends in 15 days

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

85%

<5

$2.5K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

87%

<5

$12.7K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

80%

<5

$5.7K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Strait Of Hormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $110.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to June 14. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Strait Of Hormuz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.