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GPT 5 predictions & odds

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

95%

July 31

$944K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

18

Ends in about 2 months

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

65%

June 22–June 28

$187K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

26%

50%+

$25.3K Vol.

$365 Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

82%

December 31, 2026

$357K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

44

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

97%

September 30

$24.5K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$170K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

30

Ends in 14 days

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

52%

4+

$10.4K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$916 Vol.

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K Vol.

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

42%

June 30

$912 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 16 days

Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Gaming By Legends (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A

Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Gaming By Legends (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A

51%

Noir Verse

$144 Vol.

$2 Liq.

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

56%

Spacestation Gaming

$0 Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

53%

GPT-6 released

$23M Vol.

$731K Liq.

887

Ends in about 2 months

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 Vol.

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Donstu Esports

$2.3K Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

26%

$307K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

59%

SPARTA

$983 Vol.

$143K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$13.3K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to GPT-6 released. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.