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Trump predictions & odds

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What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

88%

Oil Sanction Relief

$3M Vol.

$658K today

$207K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$434K today

$262K Liq.

82

Ends in 15 days

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$7M Vol.

$202K today

$642K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

100%

Vladimir Putin

$478K Vol.

$133K today

$276K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

55%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$853K Vol.

$53.5K today

$105K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Vol.

$420K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

99%

No meeting by June 30

$8M Vol.

$367K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%

$34M Vol.

$215K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will Trump say during UFC Freedom 250?

What will Trump say during UFC Freedom 250?

57%

Fight

$20.1K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

4

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

10%

December 31

$253K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

99%

Giorgia Meloni

$113K Vol.

$66.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

31%

Generation

$25.9K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

December 31

$54.8K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

23%

$47.3K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 16 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

54%

120-139

$37.8K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

100%

June 15

$600K Vol.

$76.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

66%

June 30

$24.5K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

26

Ends in 14 days

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

54%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$64.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?

Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?

23%

$4.6K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

2

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

100%

France

$479K Vol.

$49.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trump.

Polymarket currently hosts 308 active markets for Trump that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will Trump and Putin meet next?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.