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IPO predictions & odds

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OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$123K today

$86.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

60%

$2.0T-$2.5T

$149K Vol.

$62.4K today

$118K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

71%

December 31, 2026

$343K Vol.

$118K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 year

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$448K Liq.

13

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

62%

Up

$26.0K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

8%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$371K Vol.

$159K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

45%

Up

$11.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

11%

$2.25–$2.5T

$48.3K Vol.

$83.6K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

<1%

1.50-1.75T

$245K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

8

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

48%

1.8T+

$157K Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$944K Vol.

$67.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 14 days

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

95%

Up

$16.0K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$246K Liq.

5

Ends in 14 days

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

3%

Jonathan Hofeller

$328K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

7

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

48%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$69.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap

Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$218K Vol.

$48.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap

Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap

100%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$261K Vol.

$60.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

33%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

43

Ends in 7 months

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

76%

Anthropic

$160K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

3

Ends in over 1 year

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

90%

$800B

$2M Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

2

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IPO.

Polymarket currently hosts 152 active markets for IPO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI IPO by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to SpaceX. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IPO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.