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Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

98%

September 30

$24.9K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

71%

T1

$105 Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Overwatch: T1 vs Crazy Raccoon (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: T1 vs Crazy Raccoon (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

68%

Crazy Raccoon

$2.4K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Overwatch: Falcons vs O2 Blast (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: Falcons vs O2 Blast (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

97%

Falcons

$3.3K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

100%

Solus Victorem

$948 Vol.

$55 Liq.

Overwatch: Poker Face vs SuperBad (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: Poker Face vs SuperBad (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

78%

Poker Face

$133 Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Overwatch: O2 Blast vs Crazy Raccoon (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: O2 Blast vs Crazy Raccoon (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

98%

Crazy Raccoon

$1.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Poker Face (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Poker Face (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

97%

ZETA DIVISION

$278 Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group B

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group B

55%

FOKUS

$43 Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

61%

BIG

$102 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

<4%

+ 5 more

$7 Vol.

$74 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

67%

Monte

$56 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

67%

9z

$214 Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Overwatch: JD Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Round Robin Stage

Overwatch: JD Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Round Robin Stage

68%

JD Gaming

$118 Vol.

$255 Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

OldBoys

$65 Vol.

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

62%

PARIVISION

$47 Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

WTT - Women's Singles: Satsuki Odo vs Zhuojia He

WTT - Women's Singles: Satsuki Odo vs Zhuojia He

50%

He

$0 Vol.

$4 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs OldBoys (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs OldBoys (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

OLDBOYS-

$237 Vol.

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

95%

T1

$37.0K Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

100%

Oh My God

$1M Vol.

$1 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like O1.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for O1 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Oh My God. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on O1 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.