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US Elections predictions & odds

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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

59%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$470K Liq.

77

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

16%

Marco Rubio

$629M Vol.

$770K today

$38M Liq.

961

Ends in over 2 years

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

25%

$21.6K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

81%

$2.8K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

68%

$40.8K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

95%

$217K Vol.

$44.0K Liq.

20

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

60%

$2.3K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

44%

130m+

$7.4K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

19%

$11.6K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

3

Ends in over 2 years

IN-05 House Election Winner

IN-05 House Election Winner

79%

Republican Party

$17.4K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

14

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

23%

Democrats 8-10%

$78.0K Vol.

$385K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$6.0K Vol.

$34.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

IN-06 House Election Winner

IN-06 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$10.0K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

IN-03 House Election Winner

IN-03 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$6.5K Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

56%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$367K Liq.

70

Ends in 5 months

IN-02 House Election Winner

IN-02 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$4.7K Vol.

$29.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

IN-01 House Election Winner

IN-01 House Election Winner

82%

Democratic Party

$448 Vol.

$65 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

MS-03 House Election Winner

MS-03 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$33.9K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for US Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $634.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to Marco Rubio. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.