The Bank of Russia's April 24, 2026, decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive easing move—has anchored market-implied odds heavily toward another reduction at the July 24 meeting. Sustained disinflation, with April headline inflation easing to 5.6% year-over-year, combined with the central bank's updated baseline forecast for an average 2026 key rate of 14.0–14.5%, signals room for further monetary policy loosening provided inflation expectations stabilize and demand moderates relative to supply capacity. Upcoming June 19 data releases on prices and activity will shape the near-term path, while persistent external uncertainties and fiscal risks cap the scope for aggressive cuts or any reversal. Trader consensus reflects capital-backed assessment of these disinflationary dynamics continuing into mid-year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Decrease 76%
No Change 23%
Increase 2.3%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
Decrease
76%
No Change
23%
Increase
2%
Decrease 76%
No Change 23%
Increase 2.3%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
Decrease
$695 交易量
76%
No Change
$122 交易量
23%
Increase
$353 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24, 2026, decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive easing move—has anchored market-implied odds heavily toward another reduction at the July 24 meeting. Sustained disinflation, with April headline inflation easing to 5.6% year-over-year, combined with the central bank's updated baseline forecast for an average 2026 key rate of 14.0–14.5%, signals room for further monetary policy loosening provided inflation expectations stabilize and demand moderates relative to supply capacity. Upcoming June 19 data releases on prices and activity will shape the near-term path, while persistent external uncertainties and fiscal risks cap the scope for aggressive cuts or any reversal. Trader consensus reflects capital-backed assessment of these disinflationary dynamics continuing into mid-year.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$1,170结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24, 2026, decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive easing move—has anchored market-implied odds heavily toward another reduction at the July 24 meeting. Sustained disinflation, with April headline inflation easing to 5.6% year-over-year, combined with the central bank's updated baseline forecast for an average 2026 key rate of 14.0–14.5%, signals room for further monetary policy loosening provided inflation expectations stabilize and demand moderates relative to supply capacity. Upcoming June 19 data releases on prices and activity will shape the near-term path, while persistent external uncertainties and fiscal risks cap the scope for aggressive cuts or any reversal. Trader consensus reflects capital-backed assessment of these disinflationary dynamics continuing into mid-year.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$1,170结束日期
2026-07-24市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia's April 24, 2026, decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive easing move—has anchored market-implied odds heavily toward another reduction at the July 24 meeting. Sustained disinflation, with April headline inflation easing to 5.6% year-over-year, combined with the central bank's updated baseline forecast for an average 2026 key rate of 14.0–14.5%, signals room for further monetary policy loosening provided inflation expectations stabilize and demand moderates relative to supply capacity. Upcoming June 19 data releases on prices and activity will shape the near-term path, while persistent external uncertainties and fiscal risks cap the scope for aggressive cuts or any reversal. Trader consensus reflects capital-backed assessment of these disinflationary dynamics continuing into mid-year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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