Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 90% as the California Democratic Party-endorsed state senator from the overlapping district, benefiting from unified party support, labor endorsements, and recent polling showing a double-digit advantage in the strongly Democratic seat vacated by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. The June 16 nonpartisan primary offers a path to outright victory with a majority, or a potential August 18 runoff, where her legislative experience and name recognition position her ahead of challengers including former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the compressed timeline before voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Aisha Wahab 92%
Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%
Melissa Hernandez 6.1%
Wendy Huang 4.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
Aisha Wahab
92%
Melissa Hernandez
6%
Wendy Huang
5%
Carin Elam
3%
Matt Ortega
2%
Rakhi Israni Singh
7%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
Aisha Wahab 92%
Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%
Melissa Hernandez 6.1%
Wendy Huang 4.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
Aisha Wahab
$523 交易量
92%
Melissa Hernandez
$325 交易量
6%
Wendy Huang
$417 交易量
5%
Carin Elam
$253 交易量
3%
Matt Ortega
$226 交易量
2%
Rakhi Israni Singh
$712 交易量
7%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
$220 交易量
4%
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 90% as the California Democratic Party-endorsed state senator from the overlapping district, benefiting from unified party support, labor endorsements, and recent polling showing a double-digit advantage in the strongly Democratic seat vacated by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. The June 16 nonpartisan primary offers a path to outright victory with a majority, or a potential August 18 runoff, where her legislative experience and name recognition position her ahead of challengers including former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the compressed timeline before voting begins.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$2,674结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 90% as the California Democratic Party-endorsed state senator from the overlapping district, benefiting from unified party support, labor endorsements, and recent polling showing a double-digit advantage in the strongly Democratic seat vacated by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. The June 16 nonpartisan primary offers a path to outright victory with a majority, or a potential August 18 runoff, where her legislative experience and name recognition position her ahead of challengers including former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the compressed timeline before voting begins.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
交易量
$2,674结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 90% as the California Democratic Party-endorsed state senator from the overlapping district, benefiting from unified party support, labor endorsements, and recent polling showing a double-digit advantage in the strongly Democratic seat vacated by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. The June 16 nonpartisan primary offers a path to outright victory with a majority, or a potential August 18 runoff, where her legislative experience and name recognition position her ahead of challengers including former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the compressed timeline before voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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