Midterm elections typically draw lower participation than presidential cycles, with 2022 recording roughly 47 percent turnout among eligible voters. Traders price the 120-130 million range highest because early indicators show sustained but uneven enthusiasm, including Democratic overperformance in recent special elections driven by turnout gaps and elevated youth interest levels comparable to 2024. Redistricting shifts, presidential approval trends, and campaign mobilization efforts remain fluid variables that could expand or contract overall participation. The tight distribution across nearby brackets reflects these uncertainties six months out, with no dominant catalyst yet separating the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.3亿+ 44%
少于8500万 22.1%
1.15亿-1.2亿 16%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
少于8500万
22%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
1%
1亿-1.05亿
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
14%
1.15亿-1.2亿
16%
1.2亿-1.25亿
31%
1.25亿-1.3亿
20%
1.3亿+
29%
1.3亿+ 44%
少于8500万 22.1%
1.15亿-1.2亿 16%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
少于8500万
22%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
1%
1亿-1.05亿
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
14%
1.15亿-1.2亿
16%
1.2亿-1.25亿
31%
1.25亿-1.3亿
20%
1.3亿+
29%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Midterm elections typically draw lower participation than presidential cycles, with 2022 recording roughly 47 percent turnout among eligible voters. Traders price the 120-130 million range highest because early indicators show sustained but uneven enthusiasm, including Democratic overperformance in recent special elections driven by turnout gaps and elevated youth interest levels comparable to 2024. Redistricting shifts, presidential approval trends, and campaign mobilization efforts remain fluid variables that could expand or contract overall participation. The tight distribution across nearby brackets reflects these uncertainties six months out, with no dominant catalyst yet separating the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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