House Ethics Committee investigations into Rep. Tony Gonzales focus on alleged workplace sexual misconduct and improper favors involving congressional staff, but these proceedings address internal House rules rather than criminal statutes. No DOJ or state prosecutors have opened parallel criminal inquiries, and the congressman resigned his seat in April 2026 after admitting to an extramarital relationship and withdrawing from reelection. With fewer than 30 days remaining until the June 30 resolution date and no indictments, arrests, or formal charging announcements reported, traders assign a 72% probability that criminal charges will not materialize in time. Resolution depends solely on whether authorities file charges by the deadline, independent of ethics outcomes or prior political pressure.