Anthropic’s recent decision to expand access to its most cyber-capable large language model, Claude Mythos, beyond the restricted Project Glasswing preview is the main factor shaping trader views on release timing. First made available in private preview during April 2026 to select partners like Google Cloud, Amazon, and Microsoft for defensive cybersecurity testing, the model demonstrated advanced capabilities in vulnerability discovery and exploitation that exceeded prior Claude versions. A late-May Reuters report indicated plans to roll Mythos out to all customers in the coming weeks alongside the launch of Claude Opus 4.8, while Anthropic continues developing safeguards before any broader public deployment. Traders are watching for confirmation of full customer availability, potential government access expansions, and any updates on internal risk assessments that could accelerate or delay general release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$610,135 交易量
6月15日
8%
6月30日
30%
7月31日
72%
$610,135 交易量
6月15日
8%
6月30日
30%
7月31日
72%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s recent decision to expand access to its most cyber-capable large language model, Claude Mythos, beyond the restricted Project Glasswing preview is the main factor shaping trader views on release timing. First made available in private preview during April 2026 to select partners like Google Cloud, Amazon, and Microsoft for defensive cybersecurity testing, the model demonstrated advanced capabilities in vulnerability discovery and exploitation that exceeded prior Claude versions. A late-May Reuters report indicated plans to roll Mythos out to all customers in the coming weeks alongside the launch of Claude Opus 4.8, while Anthropic continues developing safeguards before any broader public deployment. Traders are watching for confirmation of full customer availability, potential government access expansions, and any updates on internal risk assessments that could accelerate or delay general release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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