SpaceX’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent media reports citing a targeted raise of approximately $75 billion have anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent downward revisions in valuation targets to at least $1.8 trillion, after earlier figures above $2 trillion, reflect adviser and investor feedback ahead of the planned mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX. This positions the 70-80B and 80-90B ranges (19.8%) as the primary focus, consistent with historical precedents for record IPO sizes while acknowledging execution risks from Musk’s ownership structure and reported quarterly losses. Upcoming roadshow details and final pricing will serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$153,026 交易量
$153,026 交易量
少于400亿美元
1%
400-500亿美元
9%
500-600亿美元
4%
600-700亿
6%
700亿-800亿
41%
800亿-900亿
19%
90-100B
6%
100-1100亿
6%
1100-1200亿
1%
1200亿美元以上
9%
$153,026 交易量
$153,026 交易量
少于400亿美元
$12,359 交易量
1%
400-500亿美元
$9,367 交易量
9%
500-600亿美元
$35,371 交易量
4%
600-700亿
$16,869 交易量
6%
700亿-800亿
$25,470 交易量
41%
800亿-900亿
$16,525 交易量
19%
90-100B
$11,038 交易量
6%
100-1100亿
$7,989 交易量
6%
1100-1200亿
$9,699 交易量
1%
1200亿美元以上
$8,339 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent media reports citing a targeted raise of approximately $75 billion have anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent downward revisions in valuation targets to at least $1.8 trillion, after earlier figures above $2 trillion, reflect adviser and investor feedback ahead of the planned mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX. This positions the 70-80B and 80-90B ranges (19.8%) as the primary focus, consistent with historical precedents for record IPO sizes while acknowledging execution risks from Musk’s ownership structure and reported quarterly losses. Upcoming roadshow details and final pricing will serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$153,026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent media reports citing a targeted raise of approximately $75 billion have anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent downward revisions in valuation targets to at least $1.8 trillion, after earlier figures above $2 trillion, reflect adviser and investor feedback ahead of the planned mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX. This positions the 70-80B and 80-90B ranges (19.8%) as the primary focus, consistent with historical precedents for record IPO sizes while acknowledging execution risks from Musk’s ownership structure and reported quarterly losses. Upcoming roadshow details and final pricing will serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$153,026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent media reports citing a targeted raise of approximately $75 billion have anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent downward revisions in valuation targets to at least $1.8 trillion, after earlier figures above $2 trillion, reflect adviser and investor feedback ahead of the planned mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX. This positions the 70-80B and 80-90B ranges (19.8%) as the primary focus, consistent with historical precedents for record IPO sizes while acknowledging execution risks from Musk’s ownership structure and reported quarterly losses. Upcoming roadshow details and final pricing will serve as the next key catalysts for any shifts in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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