Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey over influence in Syria and regional security arrangements amid the U.S.-Israel campaign against Iran, both sides have emphasized avoidance of direct military confrontation through 2026. Turkish officials have repeatedly signaled readiness while stating no interest in conflict, and a bilateral military hotline operates in Syrian airspace to prevent accidental clashes. Diplomatic channels remain active even as trade and airspace restrictions persist, and neither has initiated strikes or troop movements against the other. These factors underpin trader consensus that a clash is unlikely before 2027, though competition via alliances and proxies continues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$210,555 交易量
$210,555 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$210,555 交易量
$210,555 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey over influence in Syria and regional security arrangements amid the U.S.-Israel campaign against Iran, both sides have emphasized avoidance of direct military confrontation through 2026. Turkish officials have repeatedly signaled readiness while stating no interest in conflict, and a bilateral military hotline operates in Syrian airspace to prevent accidental clashes. Diplomatic channels remain active even as trade and airspace restrictions persist, and neither has initiated strikes or troop movements against the other. These factors underpin trader consensus that a clash is unlikely before 2027, though competition via alliances and proxies continues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$210,555结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey over influence in Syria and regional security arrangements amid the U.S.-Israel campaign against Iran, both sides have emphasized avoidance of direct military confrontation through 2026. Turkish officials have repeatedly signaled readiness while stating no interest in conflict, and a bilateral military hotline operates in Syrian airspace to prevent accidental clashes. Diplomatic channels remain active even as trade and airspace restrictions persist, and neither has initiated strikes or troop movements against the other. These factors underpin trader consensus that a clash is unlikely before 2027, though competition via alliances and proxies continues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$210,555结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey over influence in Syria and regional security arrangements amid the U.S.-Israel campaign against Iran, both sides have emphasized avoidance of direct military confrontation through 2026. Turkish officials have repeatedly signaled readiness while stating no interest in conflict, and a bilateral military hotline operates in Syrian airspace to prevent accidental clashes. Diplomatic channels remain active even as trade and airspace restrictions persist, and neither has initiated strikes or troop movements against the other. These factors underpin trader consensus that a clash is unlikely before 2027, though competition via alliances and proxies continues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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