Traders see the May 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate as a near toss-up between 4.2% and 4.3% because April’s 3.8% print exceeded forecasts amid sharp energy gains and shelter pressures, lifting nowcasts to roughly 4.18%. Persistent oil-price shocks, elevated gasoline costs, and sticky core components have pushed market-implied odds toward the higher end of recent readings, while softer monthly momentum in some categories keeps the two outcomes tightly matched. With the June 10 release just days away, incoming data revisions and final nowcast updates remain the key swing factors that could break the deadlock in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.2% 43%
4.3% 42%
≥4.4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$346,776 交易量
$346,776 交易量
2026-06-10
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
43%
4.3%
42%
≥4.4%
11%
4.2% 43%
4.3% 42%
≥4.4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$346,776 交易量
$346,776 交易量
2026-06-10
≤3.3%
$19,516 交易量
<1%
3.4%
$17,416 交易量
<1%
3.5%
$24,784 交易量
<1%
3.6%
$21,699 交易量
<1%
3.7%
$21,790 交易量
<1%
3.8%
$22,753 交易量
<1%
3.9%
$29,200 交易量
<1%
4.0%
$23,715 交易量
1%
4.1%
$27,988 交易量
6%
4.2%
$44,262 交易量
43%
4.3%
$55,680 交易量
42%
≥4.4%
$37,972 交易量
11%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders see the May 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate as a near toss-up between 4.2% and 4.3% because April’s 3.8% print exceeded forecasts amid sharp energy gains and shelter pressures, lifting nowcasts to roughly 4.18%. Persistent oil-price shocks, elevated gasoline costs, and sticky core components have pushed market-implied odds toward the higher end of recent readings, while softer monthly momentum in some categories keeps the two outcomes tightly matched. With the June 10 release just days away, incoming data revisions and final nowcast updates remain the key swing factors that could break the deadlock in either direction.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$346,776结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders see the May 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate as a near toss-up between 4.2% and 4.3% because April’s 3.8% print exceeded forecasts amid sharp energy gains and shelter pressures, lifting nowcasts to roughly 4.18%. Persistent oil-price shocks, elevated gasoline costs, and sticky core components have pushed market-implied odds toward the higher end of recent readings, while softer monthly momentum in some categories keeps the two outcomes tightly matched. With the June 10 release just days away, incoming data revisions and final nowcast updates remain the key swing factors that could break the deadlock in either direction.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$346,776结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the May 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate as a near toss-up between 4.2% and 4.3% because April’s 3.8% print exceeded forecasts amid sharp energy gains and shelter pressures, lifting nowcasts to roughly 4.18%. Persistent oil-price shocks, elevated gasoline costs, and sticky core components have pushed market-implied odds toward the higher end of recent readings, while softer monthly momentum in some categories keeps the two outcomes tightly matched. With the June 10 release just days away, incoming data revisions and final nowcast updates remain the key swing factors that could break the deadlock in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题