Oura’s confidential SEC filing in May 2026, following its $11 billion Series E valuation on roughly $900 million raised in late 2025, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO market cap. Revenue has scaled rapidly from $500 million in 2024 toward $1–1.5 billion targets, fueled by tripled ring shipments and subscription growth, yet the market-implied odds remain dispersed across $10–20 billion+ bins because IPO pricing will hinge on prevailing multiples, wearable-sector comparables, and broader equity risk appetite. Underwriters including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley signal a 2026 listing is probable, with the low 3.3 percent probability assigned to no IPO before January 2027 reflecting that timeline conviction. Competitive dynamics versus larger tech incumbents and execution on AI-enhanced features will further influence where final valuation settles within the current wide probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17.5B–$20B 24%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 11%
$7.5B–$10B 9%
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
9%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
7%
$15B–$17.5B
7%
$17.5B–$20B
25%
$20B+
11%
No IPO before January 2027
3%
$17.5B–$20B 24%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 11%
$7.5B–$10B 9%
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
9%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
7%
$15B–$17.5B
7%
$17.5B–$20B
25%
$20B+
11%
No IPO before January 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s confidential SEC filing in May 2026, following its $11 billion Series E valuation on roughly $900 million raised in late 2025, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO market cap. Revenue has scaled rapidly from $500 million in 2024 toward $1–1.5 billion targets, fueled by tripled ring shipments and subscription growth, yet the market-implied odds remain dispersed across $10–20 billion+ bins because IPO pricing will hinge on prevailing multiples, wearable-sector comparables, and broader equity risk appetite. Underwriters including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley signal a 2026 listing is probable, with the low 3.3 percent probability assigned to no IPO before January 2027 reflecting that timeline conviction. Competitive dynamics versus larger tech incumbents and execution on AI-enhanced features will further influence where final valuation settles within the current wide probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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