SpaceX’s rapid progress toward a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, following its May SEC filing and roadshow launch, underpins the 77% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company’s valuation from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion in early 2026, driven by Starlink’s subscriber surge past nine million and expanding revenue from satellite broadband and launch services. Recent reports of a modest downward adjustment to a $1.8 trillion target reflect typical IPO pricing dynamics rather than diminished fundamentals. With Goldman Sachs leading the syndicate and strong demand expected for the space and AI-adjacent business lines, traders appear to price in sustained momentum into the public debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2万亿美元以上 77%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿 13%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿 4.0%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿 3.4%
$1,155,476 交易量
$1,155,476 交易量
2027-12-31
2028年前不上市
<1%
低于 1.0 万亿美元
1%
1.0万亿–1.2万亿
1%
1.2万亿–1.4万亿
1%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿
3%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿
4%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿
13%
2万亿美元以上
77%
2万亿美元以上 77%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿 13%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿 4.0%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿 3.4%
$1,155,476 交易量
$1,155,476 交易量
2027-12-31
2028年前不上市
$216,419 交易量
<1%
低于 1.0 万亿美元
$103,814 交易量
1%
1.0万亿–1.2万亿
$68,368 交易量
1%
1.2万亿–1.4万亿
$83,730 交易量
1%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿
$133,778 交易量
3%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿
$131,000 交易量
4%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿
$121,294 交易量
13%
2万亿美元以上
$297,074 交易量
77%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s rapid progress toward a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, following its May SEC filing and roadshow launch, underpins the 77% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company’s valuation from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion in early 2026, driven by Starlink’s subscriber surge past nine million and expanding revenue from satellite broadband and launch services. Recent reports of a modest downward adjustment to a $1.8 trillion target reflect typical IPO pricing dynamics rather than diminished fundamentals. With Goldman Sachs leading the syndicate and strong demand expected for the space and AI-adjacent business lines, traders appear to price in sustained momentum into the public debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
交易量
$1,155,476结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s rapid progress toward a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, following its May SEC filing and roadshow launch, underpins the 77% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company’s valuation from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion in early 2026, driven by Starlink’s subscriber surge past nine million and expanding revenue from satellite broadband and launch services. Recent reports of a modest downward adjustment to a $1.8 trillion target reflect typical IPO pricing dynamics rather than diminished fundamentals. With Goldman Sachs leading the syndicate and strong demand expected for the space and AI-adjacent business lines, traders appear to price in sustained momentum into the public debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,155,476结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s rapid progress toward a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, following its May SEC filing and roadshow launch, underpins the 77% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Private-market tenders have already lifted the company’s valuation from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion in early 2026, driven by Starlink’s subscriber surge past nine million and expanding revenue from satellite broadband and launch services. Recent reports of a modest downward adjustment to a $1.8 trillion target reflect typical IPO pricing dynamics rather than diminished fundamentals. With Goldman Sachs leading the syndicate and strong demand expected for the space and AI-adjacent business lines, traders appear to price in sustained momentum into the public debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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