Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate in the May 26 runoff by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 28 points, with final tallies showing Paxton at 63.8 percent to Cornyn’s 36.2 percent. A late endorsement from President Trump one week prior consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Cornyn experienced a sharp drop in urban turnout compared with the March first round. These verified results align with the market’s overwhelming consensus on the 25–30 percent bracket, reflecting the actual margin rather than pre-election forecasts. Remaining scenarios that could shift resolution involve official certification processes or any unresolved procedural challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paxton 25–30% 97.2%
Paxton 30%+ 2.1%
Paxton 20–25% <1%
Paxton 10–15% <1%
$135,750 交易量
$135,750 交易量
2026-05-26
Paxton 30%+
2%
Paxton 25–30%
97%
Paxton 20–25%
1%
Paxton 15–20%
1%
Paxton 10–15%
1%
Paxton 5–10%
<1%
Paxton 0–5%
<1%
Cornyn Win
<1%
Other
<1%
Paxton 25–30% 97.2%
Paxton 30%+ 2.1%
Paxton 20–25% <1%
Paxton 10–15% <1%
$135,750 交易量
$135,750 交易量
2026-05-26
Paxton 30%+
$41,567 交易量
2%
Paxton 25–30%
$20,499 交易量
97%
Paxton 20–25%
$11,489 交易量
1%
Paxton 15–20%
$16,939 交易量
1%
Paxton 10–15%
$17,930 交易量
1%
Paxton 5–10%
$9,640 交易量
<1%
Paxton 0–5%
$13,664 交易量
<1%
Cornyn Win
$1,450 交易量
<1%
Other
$2,572 交易量
<1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate in the May 26 runoff by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 28 points, with final tallies showing Paxton at 63.8 percent to Cornyn’s 36.2 percent. A late endorsement from President Trump one week prior consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Cornyn experienced a sharp drop in urban turnout compared with the March first round. These verified results align with the market’s overwhelming consensus on the 25–30 percent bracket, reflecting the actual margin rather than pre-election forecasts. Remaining scenarios that could shift resolution involve official certification processes or any unresolved procedural challenges.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$135,750结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate in the May 26 runoff by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 28 points, with final tallies showing Paxton at 63.8 percent to Cornyn’s 36.2 percent. A late endorsement from President Trump one week prior consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Cornyn experienced a sharp drop in urban turnout compared with the March first round. These verified results align with the market’s overwhelming consensus on the 25–30 percent bracket, reflecting the actual margin rather than pre-election forecasts. Remaining scenarios that could shift resolution involve official certification processes or any unresolved procedural challenges.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$135,750结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas Senate in the May 26 runoff by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 28 points, with final tallies showing Paxton at 63.8 percent to Cornyn’s 36.2 percent. A late endorsement from President Trump one week prior consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Cornyn experienced a sharp drop in urban turnout compared with the March first round. These verified results align with the market’s overwhelming consensus on the 25–30 percent bracket, reflecting the actual margin rather than pre-election forecasts. Remaining scenarios that could shift resolution involve official certification processes or any unresolved procedural challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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